Cable’s shooting star brings back to 3-weeks lows – Snap deceptive rallies to deploy tunnel spreads and short hedge on major downtrend:
Technical chart and candlestick patterns: GBPUSD (cable) has formed shooting star patterns at 1.3106 and 1.3157 levels on daily and at 1.3755 levels on monthly plotting.
The minor trend has developed the sloping channel previously (refer daily chart ).
For now, although cable’s current price sentiments are attempting to build on the rebound from the lows of 1.2373 regions, the bullish sentiments in the minor trend is now hampered on above-stated bearish patterns.
To substantiate this bearish stance, both the momentum and trend indicators are indicating strength and intensified selling momentum as it hits 3-week lows. Both DMA & MACD crossovers indicate downswings to prolong further to approach previous channel resistance.
On a broader perspective, we saw the resumption of major downtrend after brief consolidation phase, slumps below EMAs are observed upon shooting star formation.
For now, the trend is on the verge of retracing 78.6% Fibonacci levels as both leading and lagging indicators in tandem with selling sentiments & bearish EMA crossover.
Overall, bulls for the day are attempting to show some minor rallies but remember they can be deceptive as the upswings are likely to be restrained at 1.2896 (i.e. 7-DMA levels).
Trade tips: Well, on trading perspective, at spot reference: 1.2864 levels, contemplating above-explained technical rationale, it is advisable to trade barrier option strategy using boundary strikes, upper strikes at 1.2896 and lower strikes at 1.2830 levels, the strategy is likely to fetch leveraged yields as long as underlying spot FX remains between these strikes on expiry duration.
Alternatively, on hedging grounds, shorting futures contracts of mid-month tenors were advocated, now we wish to uphold the same position as the underlying spot FX likely to slide southwards 1.2424 levels in the medium terms.
Writers in a futures contract are expected to maintain margins in order to open and maintain a short futures position.
Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's hourly GBP spot index is inching towards -36 levels (which is bearish ), while hourly USD spot index was at -34 (mildly bearish ) while articulating (at 04:36 GMT ).
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